24 things we think will happen in 2024

24 Things We Think Will Happen in 2024

It was either the Nobel Prize-winning physicist or Hall of Fame New York Yankees catcher who coined the phrase “Predictions are hard to make, especially about the future.” Nonetheless, for the fifth year in a row, the staff of [publication name] will venture its best estimations of what major News events will or won’t take place in 2024.

Politics and Government

Donald Trump will return to the White House (55 percent). Predicting a presidential race a year out is tough. Polls from the beginning of the election year have virtually no predictive power when it comes to calling presidential races.

Republicans will recapture the Senate (85 percent). The landscape is absolutely brutal for Democrats.

Democrats will recapture the House (55 percent). Republicans currently hold a razor-thin margin in the House.

Inflation will come in under 3 points (65 percent). Prices will probably rise moderately, and interest rates will remain pretty high, but the big spikes we saw a while back won’t return.

Global Affairs

Netanyahu will be unseated as Israeli prime minister (75 percent). The former prime minister’s actions led to outrage, making his reelection a point of contention.

The world will be hotter in 2024 than it was in 2023 (80 percent). Future Perfect reports that the coming year will be warmer than the previous one, giving it 80 percent odds.

Narendra Modi will remain as prime minister of india after the country’s 2024 elections (85 percent). The Indian Prime Minister has maintained high approval ratings and has barely seen any change since 2019.

Claudia Sheinbaum will become Mexico’s first female president (90 percent). The overwhelming favorite is an Engineering professor and climate researcher who has maintained a significant lead over her rivals.

Ukraine will not break the “land bridge” between Donbas and Crimea (70 percent). The existing dynamics of the war make a severing of the land bridge unlikely in the next year.

Science and Technology

The FDA will approve MDMA-assisted therapy for PTSD (85 percent). With promising results from studies, the FDA is expected to grant its approval.

OpenAI will release ChatGPT-5 by the end of November 2024 (75 percent). While OpenAI may take extra caution, the competition and revenue needs may drive the release of ChatGPT-5.

Starship will complete a launch without either stage exploding (65 percent). After significant progress, a successful launch without any stage explosion remains a plausible outcome.

Fewer than 1,000 Cybertrucks will be delivered to customers (60 percent). Despite challenges, there is skepticism concerning Tesla’s ability to ramp up its revenue through cybertruck sales.

waymo will expand to a new city (80 percent). The successes and expansion plans of waymo position the company to expand into new cities in 2024.

animals

Antibiotics sales for farmed animals will increase at least 1 percent in 2023 (65 percent). The trends in livestock production point toward an increase in antibiotic sales for farmed animals.

Oatly’s stock price will not exceed $5 in 2023 (60 percent). Due to challenges and competitors in the plant-based milk market, Oatly’s stock price is not likely to exceed a certain threshold.

45 percent of the US egg supply will be cage-free by late November (70 percent). regulation changes and corporate deadlines are expected to drive a slightly faster rate of change for cage-free egg supply in 2024.

More than 20 million poultry birds will be culled due to bird flu (60 percent). A resurgence of avian flu in late 2023 hints at the potential for a higher toll from bird flu in 2024.

More animal rights activists will be sentenced to jail or prison (40 percent). The history of recent trials and activism suggests the possibility of more convictions and jail sentences for animal rights activists.

culture and Sports

Billie Eilish will win a Grammy for “What Was I Made For?” (90 percent). Based on her track record and impact, the likelihood of Billie Eilish winning a Grammy is high.

One of the Kardashian-Jenners will appear in a Schiaparelli dress for the Met Gala (60 percent). Given the brand’s rise and thematic alignment with the gala, the odds of a Kardashian-Jenner appearing in a Schiaparelli dress are plausible.

J. Robert Oppenheimer will win Best Picture at the 2024 Academy Awards (70 percent). The Academy’s choice of films, combined with historical references, sets the stage for J. Robert Oppenheimer to win the highly acclaimed award.

Shohei Ohtani will lead the major leagues in Home runs in the 2024 season (75 percent). Given Ohtani’s exceptional baseball skills and focus on hitting in the upcoming season, he is poised to lead the major leagues in Home runs.

Source: vox